*’Prophets’ of the Project for a New American Century

NOTE: This is another of my oldies. It was originally meant to be more of a study guide than an ‘article’. It could probably use some revisions and additions, but it should still be solid.

By IgnoranceIsntBliss

Welcome to the New American Century. As you will learn, it almost seems as if Wolfowitz is a prophet. Virtually all of his predictions, which began all the way back in 1992, have come true, even the one that was needed to bring this military revolution. Whether he and his friends were ‘prophets’, genius or conspirators they were apparently the right ones for the job. Also, in hindsight, its clear that they are genuine Profits.

Pre-PNAC:

Febuary 8^th, 1992: The Wolfowitz Doctrine was written and rejected by both the first Bush Administration and the Clinton administration for being imperialist.

-The Wolfowitz Doctrine was exposed by the NY Times on March 8, 1992.
-The Wolfowitz Doctrine states also that we need to prepare a pre-emptive strike against “terrorist” nations.
-It also tells us that we need to create more National Security Agencies.
–Wolfowitz Doctrine / Defense Policy Guidance 1992-1994 / Later becomes the Bush Doctrine, after Bush declared that he was against nation building and such during the 2000 election year.

January 1993: Then Secretary of Defense Dick Cheney releases The Regional Defense Strategy, which parallels the Wolfowitz Doctrine.

1997:

Established in the spring of 1997, the Project for the New American Century is a non-profit, educational organization whose goal is to promote American global leadership.

June 3, 1997: PNAC releases its Statement of Principles. The four main consequences are presented, and its members:

Consequence #1: we need to increase defense spending significantly if we are to carry out our global responsibilities today and modernize our armed forces for the future;

Consequence #2: we need to strengthen our ties to democratic allies and to challenge regimes hostile to our interests and values;

Consequence #3: we need to promote the cause of political and economic freedom abroad;

Consequence #4: we need to accept responsibility for America’s unique role in preserving and extending an international order friendly to our security, our prosperity, and our principles.

Members (large fonts indicate members appointed to the Bush Administration):

Elliott Abrams ^ Gary Bauer ^ William J. Bennett ^ Jeb Bush ^

Dick Cheney ^ Eliot A. Cohen ^ Midge Decter ^ Paula Dobriansky ^ Steve Forbes ^

Aaron Friedberg ^ Francis Fukuyama ^ Frank Gaffney ^ Fred C. Ikle ^

Donald Kagan ^ Zalmay Khalilzad ^ I. Lewis Libby ^ Norman Podhoretz ^

Dan Quayle ^ Peter W. Rodman ^ Stephen P. Rosen Henry S. Rowen

Donald Rumsfeld ^ Vin Weber ^ George Weigel ^ Paul Wolfowitz ^ ^ ^

Gary Schmitt ^ Ellen Bork Thomas Donnelly ^ Reuel Marc Gerecht ^

Timothy Lehmann ^ ^ Michael Goldfarb ^ Randy Scheunemann ^ ^ Mark Gerson ^ ^

Bruce P. Jackson ^ ^ William Kristol ^ ^ Robert Kagan ^ ^ ^ John R. Bolton ^

Richard N. Perle ^ Richard Armitage ^ Seth Cropsey ^ Dov S. Zakheim ^

Robert B. Zoellick ^

2000:

September: PNAC releases the Rebuilding America’s Defenses: Strategy, Forces and Resources For a New Century report. Excerpts (Red text addresses ther predictions)

Further, the process of transformation, even if it brings revolutionary change, is likely to be a long one, absent some catastrophic and catalyzing event like a new Pearl Harbor.
Sept. 11^th: “The Pearl Harbor of the 21st century took place today.” -GWB

ESTABLISH FOUR CORE MISSIONS for U.S. military forces:

CM#1: defend the American homeland;
CM#2: fight and decisively win multiple, simultaneous major theater wars;

CM#3 perform the constabulary duties associated with shaping the security environment in critical regions;

CM#4 transform U.S. forces to exploit the revolution in military affairs;

To carry out these core missions, we need to provide sufficient force and budgetary

allocations. In particular, the United States must:

MAINTAIN NUCLEAR STRATEGIC SUPERIORITY, basing the U.S. nuclear deterrent upon a global, nuclear net assessment that weighs the full range of current and emerging threats, not merely the U.S.-Russia balance.

April 2006: Bush Administration announces plans to begin new nuclear weapons production; violating treaties.

RESTORE THE PERSONNEL STRENGTH of todays force to roughly the levels anticipated in the Base Force outlined by the Bush Administration, an increase in active-duty strength from 1.4 million to 1.6 million.

Declining because the war is bogus.

REPOSITION U.S. FORCES to respond to 21st century strategic realities by shifting permanently-based forces to Southeast Europe and Southeast Asia, and by changing naval deployment patterns to reflect growing U.S. strategic concerns in East Asia.

2005: Naval fleets dispatched to Japan. Not because of terrorism, but instead because Asian powers created new superpower in response to our war on terrorism imperial death march.

MODERNIZE CURRENT U.S. FORCES SELECTIVELY, proceeding with the F-22 program while increasing purchases of lift, electronic support and other aircraft; expanding submarine and surface combatant fleets; purchasing Comanche helicopters and medium-weight ground vehicles for the Army, and the V-22 Osprey tilt-rotor aircraft for the Marine Corps.

-Comanches cancelled in 2004.

-September 28, 2005: Pentagon finally approves full rate production after a needed extended test phase.

-February 27, 2002: Stryker medium weight vehicle formally named and introduced for Army transformation.

CANCEL ROADBLOCK PROGRAMS such as the Joint Strike Fighter, CVX aircraft carrier, and Crusader howitzer system that would absorb exorbitant amounts of Pentagon funding while providing limited improvements to current capabilities. Savings from these canceled programs should be used to spur the process of military transformation.

-The Joint Strike Fighter order is being reduced by a third or more.

-CVX carriers have been canceled. Furthermore, it calls for carrier cutbacks on page 40, and one is being cut. Expect it them to get cutback to 9, if this documents plan holds up.

-Rumsfeld cancelled the Crusader tank in early May 2002. Replaced by towable artillery pieces.

DEVELOP AND DEPLOY GLOBAL MISSILE DEFENSES to defend the American homeland and American allies, and to provide a secure basis for U.S. power projection around the world.

-August 2002: Ballistic Missile Defense enacted violating treaties.

CONTROL THE NEW INTERNATIONAL COMMONS OF SPACE AND CYBERSPACE, and pave the way for the creation of a new military service U.S. Space Forces with the mission of space control.

-October 30^th, 2003: Information Operations Roadmap signed by Donald Rumsfeld.

EXPLOIT THE REVOLUTION IN MILITARY AFFAIRS to insure the long-term superiority of U.S. conventional forces. Establish a two-stage transformation process which

maximizes the value of current weapons systems through the application of advanced

technologies, and,

produces more profound improvements in military capabilities, encourages competition

between single services and joint-service experimentation efforts.

INCREASE DEFENSE SPENDING gradually to a minimum level of 3.5 to 3.8 percent of gross domestic product, adding $15 billion to $20 billion to total defense spending annually.

-Defense spending has gone up to 4.7% GDP since 9/11. Usama hasnt been caught or killed. Bush says hes truly not that concerned about him.

-The budget increase has done almost exactly the spending increase, as described, since the Bush Administration took office.

HOMELAND DEFENSE. America must defend its homeland. During the Cold War,

nuclear deterrence was the key element in homeland defense; it remains essential. But the new century has brought with it new challenges. While reconfiguring its nuclear force, the United States also must counteract the effects of the proliferation of ballistic missiles and weapons of mass destruction that may soon allow lesser states to deter U.S. military action by threatening U.S. allies and the American homeland itself. Of all the new and current missions for U.S. armed forces, this must have priority.

-2002: Homeland Security Act.

-Also see Ballistic Missle Defense.

-Defense spending has our National Debt at over 8 trillion dollars.

LARGE WARS. Second, the United States must retain sufficient forces able to rapidly

deploy and win multiple simultaneous large-scale wars and also to be able to respond to

unanticipated contingencies in regions where it does not maintain forward-based forces.

This resembles the two-war standard that has been the basis of U.S. force planning over

the past decade. Yet this standard needs to be updated to account for new realities and

potential new conflicts.

-We have plenty of war plans drafted. Next stop Iran, and if the Democrats take over Congress we might see a Universal draft. The neocons havent publicly condemned HR4752, and virtually nobody has ever heard about it.

CONSTABULARY DUTIES. Third, the Pentagon must retain forces to preserve the current peace in ways that fall short of conduction major theater campaigns. A decades experience and the policies of two administrations have shown that such forces must be expanded to meet the needs of the new, long-term NATO mission in the Balkans, the continuing no-fly-zone and other missions in Southwest Asia, and other presence missions in vital regions of East Asia. These duties are todays most frequent missions, requiring forces configured for combat but capable of long-term, independent constabulary operations.

-Bases and overall forces have been expanded in those areas.

TRANSFORM U.S. ARMED FORCES. Finally, the Pentagon must begin now to exploit the so-called revolution in military affairs, sparked by the introduction of advanced technologies into military systems; this must be regarded as a separate and critical mission worthy of a share of force structure and defense budgets.

-This has been underway since before 9/11, and has kicked into overdrive since.

See impressive videos.

Efforts to implement network-centric warfare under the cooperative engagement concept should be accelerated.

-Wolfowitzs Net-Centric doctrine is already the new standard.

We cannot allow North Korea, Iran, Iraq or similar states to undermine American leadership, intimidate American allies or threaten the American homeland itself. Page 75

–January 29, 2002: Bush declares North Korea, Iran and Iraq the axis of evil.

While the unresolved conflict with Iraq provides the immediate justification, the need for a substantial American force presence in the Gulf transcends the issue of the regime of Saddam Hussein.” Page 26

-March 20, 2003: Begins the invasion and occupation of Iraq.

“[Constabulatory missions] demand American political leadership rather than that of the United Nations… Nor can the United States assume a UN-like stance of neutrality; the preponderance of American power is so great and its global interests so wide that it cannot pretend to be indifferent to the political outcome in the Balkans, the Persian Gulf or even when it deploys forces in Africa.” Page 23

-The Bush Administration followed that same exact doctrine when aggressively pursuing the Iraqi war.

Over the long term, Iran may well prove as large a threat to U.S.interests in the Gulf as Iraq has. And even should U.S.-Iranian relations improve, retaining forward-based forces in the region would still be an essential element in U.S. security strategy given the longstanding American interests in the region.” Page 29

2001:

September 11^th. Ground Zero. That day: PNACs Robert Kagan writes an article for The Washington Post declaring it a far more awful Pearl Harbor and declaring war.

October 17^th: NewAmericanCentury.org official site appears on the Internet.